GDP growth slows to 2-year low of 5.4 pc in Q2
This is due to poor performance of manufacturing and mining sectors as well as weak consumption, but the country continued to remain the fastest-growing large economy, data showed on Friday
PTI
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Representative Picture
New Delhi, 29 Nov
India's economic growth slowed to
near two-year low of 5.4 per cent in the July-September quarter of this fiscal
due to poor performance of manufacturing and mining sectors as well as weak
consumption, but the country continued to remain the fastest-growing large
economy, data showed on Friday.
The gross domestic product (GDP)
had expanded by 8.1 per cent in the July-September quarter of 2023-24 fiscal
and 6.7 per cent in first quarter of current fiscal (April-June 2024).
The previous low level of GDP
growth at 4.3 per cent was recorded in the third quarter (October-December
2022) of financial year 2022-23.
The data also showed that the
growth of private final consumption expenditure (PFCE), which indicates
consumer spending, decelerated to 6 per cent in September quarter from 7.4 per
cent in April-June this year.
However, India remained the
fastest-growing major economy as China's GDP growth in the July-September
quarter this year was at 4.6 per cent.
"Real GDP growth print of 5.4
per cent is on the lower side and it is disappointing but there are some bright
spots," Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said while addressing
the media.
Agriculture and allied sector and
construction sector are some of the bright spots, he added.
Commenting on the data, Aditi Nayar
Chief Economist and Head - Research & Outreach, ICRA Ltd, said: "GDP
growth dipped much sharper than expected to a tepid 5.4 per cent in Q2 FY25,
with a number of sectors throwing up negative surprises, especially the anemic
outturn of manufacturing growth and the marginal contraction in mining, as well
as a slower-than-projected growth of the services sector."
According to the National
Statistical Office (NSO) data, the growth of agriculture sector GVA (Gross
Value Added) accelerated to 3.5 per cent in the latest July-September quarter
from 1.7 per cent a year ago.
The GVA in the manufacturing sector
slowed to 2.2 per cent in the second quarter of the current fiscal compared to
an expansion of 14.3 per cent in the year-ago period.
As per the data, the output (GVA)
in the 'mining and quarrying' contracted to 0.01 per cent in the second quarter
against a growth of 11.1 per cent a year ago.
The expansion in financial, real
estate and professional services' GVA was 6.7 per cent, up from 6.2 per cent in
the year-ago quarter.
Electricity, gas, water supply and
other utility services grew by 3.3 per cent, slower than 10.5 per cent a year
ago.
The construction sector recorded a
growth of 7.7 per cent in the second quarter, down from 13.6 per cent year on
year.
The growth in gross domestic
product (GDP) during the April-June quarter of 2024-25 remained unchanged at
6.7 per cent.
"Real GDP or GDP at constant
prices in Q2 of 2024-25 is estimated at Rs 44.10 lakh crore, against Rs 41.86
lakh crore in Q2 of 2023-24, showing a growth rate of 5.4 per cent," the
NSO said in a statement.
Nominal GDP or GDP at current
prices in Q2 of 2024-25 is estimated at Rs 76.60 lakh crore, against Rs 70.90
lakh crore in Q2 of 2023-24, showing a growth rate of 8.0 per cent, it added.
On a half-yearly basis, the
statement said the real GDP or GDP at constant prices in April-September of
2024-25 (H1 FY25) is estimated at Rs 87.74 lakh crore, against Rs 82.77 lakh
crore in the first half of 2023-24, showing a growth rate of 6 per cent.
Nominal GDP or GDP at current
prices in H1, 2024-25 is estimated at Rs 153.91 lakh crore, against Rs 141.40
lakh crore in H1 of 2023-24, showing a growth rate of 8.9 per cent, it stated.
Meanwhile, the government data
showed that the Centre's fiscal deficit at the end of the first seven months of
the current financial year touched 46.5 per cent of the full-year target.
In absolute terms, the fiscal
deficit -- the gap between government's expenditure and revenue -- was at Rs
7,50,824 crore during April-October period, according to data released by the
Controller General of Accounts (CGA).
The deficit stood at 45 per cent of
the Budget Estimates (BE) in the corresponding period of 2023-24.
As regards the output of eight key
infrastructure sectors, it expanded by 3.1 per cent in October 2024, sharply
down from a 12.7 per cent growth registered in the same month last year.
On a monthly basis, the production
growth of these sectors was higher than the 2.4 per cent expansion recorded in
September 2024.
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